{
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "book": "m-267",
  "number": 267,
  "title": "预案科学",
  "authors": [
    "王德生"
  ],
  "sourceEdition": "初版（2026-10-12）",
  "taskVersion": "20261012-m267-unit-v1",
  "parts": [
    "典范转移：瓶颈换了位置",
    "回写剧烈与突变态",
    "我经济的物理图景：粒子、波、场",
    "场模态的发生：徒步与视觉",
    "预案专著：写未发生的",
    "孙子兵法的总方法论与预案科学",
    "预案科学",
    "教育、健康、事业：生产我的三条主线",
    "很多爱因斯坦的诞生：What If、How If、Why If 与出版的新典范"
  ],
  "tasks": [
    {
      "lesson": 1,
      "problemId": "M267-C01",
      "part": 1,
      "title": "换说法与新构型",
      "question": "找一件你最近写不出满意的小文字，比如一条生日留言或一段自我介绍。把试过的几个版本列出来，看它们是不是同一个底子的不同摆法；再写下有没有哪个从外面落进来的小细节，让你换了写法，并写出这个细节是什么。",
      "checkpoint": "如果新写法并没有改变你对那件事的看法，它还算「发生」吗？什么现象会让你收窄「真发生会回写」这条线索？",
      "chapterTitle": "第1章　十分钟的专著",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s5",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-01.json",
      "sourceSha256": "7db28bd382662048d540fb9b37e16c20a8d0139820a2c3d9d538cad7e0573821"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 2,
      "problemId": "M267-C02",
      "part": 1,
      "title": "账本与要是",
      "question": "想一件下周要发生、你拿不准的小事，比如周末出游或一次家庭聚餐。先用两句话写「过去的账」：以往同类事一般怎样；再写三行「要是……就……」，把假设分别放在环境、时间次序、结果上，最后补一句「若……就换办法」。",
      "checkpoint": "你写的三行若全落在同一个维度上，还算几份预案吗？什么局面出现，「写未发生的将成主流」就该修改？",
      "chapterTitle": "第2章　两种文本",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s6",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-02.json",
      "sourceSha256": "4f6968ac867cdea713be50cebdad10b7d19b32e39fa05277064dd27ee30f339b"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 3,
      "problemId": "M267-C03",
      "part": 1,
      "title": "三句体检",
      "question": "选一条你用了很久的生活经验，比如「走这条路上班最快」或「这道菜这样做最好吃」。依次回答：当初产生它的条件还在吗？它来自几次经历？说出去之后，被描述的对象会不会因此改变？最后写下你的处理：放心用、加备选，还是只当材料。",
      "checkpoint": "三问都答得踏实，是否就不需要备选了？再想一个三问之外、仍会让这条经验失灵的因素。",
      "chapterTitle": "第3章　经典知识的三步及其前提",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s7",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-03.json",
      "sourceSha256": "e366da88dcda44f40bcadf94b93fcf190a90e86e570f5517b4f535a6ee13fa2c"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 4,
      "problemId": "M267-C04",
      "part": 1,
      "title": "一条线与一张图",
      "question": "回想一条长辈给过你的日常建议，比如怎么收纳东西或怎么安排周末，且不涉及重大决定。先写这条建议是怎样「总结过去」得来的；再把它改写成两个「如果……就……」，分别设想不同的环境，并各写一个「看到什么就换」的信号。",
      "checkpoint": "把建议改成「如果……就……」后，是否反而更难执行？什么情况下一条直线就够了，不必画成图？",
      "chapterTitle": "第4章　父母的职业建议为何失灵",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s8",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-04.json",
      "sourceSha256": "45d2625f00c2a2fbcb3205fc59b515554e6ad1af622c925773fcd025f46c7c9e"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 5,
      "problemId": "M267-C05",
      "part": 2,
      "title": "指标变目标",
      "question": "找一个你给自己或家人定过的小数字，比如每天背几个单词、读几页书。写下它原本想反映什么；再写它被当成目标后，行动或你与这件事的关系有什么变化；最后试着把它降成路标，写一句「低于多少就换个做法」。",
      "checkpoint": "降成路标后，你还会不自觉地冲着它去吗？看到什么情形，才能说「指标一成目标就被回写」在这件事上不成立？",
      "chapterTitle": "第5章　回写：行动改写自己的条件",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s10",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-05.json",
      "sourceSha256": "aa80abded3e99d770ef6916a3f0b84c88e67e8810399bec13f75748e2491c905"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 6,
      "problemId": "M267-C06",
      "part": 2,
      "title": "饭桌上的三根线",
      "question": "选家里晚饭这件事。分别写出：哪两样的矛盾推出了现在的吃法（S、D、E 各取其一）；这个吃法又回头改写了哪两样。三根线都试着找一遍，最后写哪一根你最容易下手改，为什么。",
      "checkpoint": "如果三根线里你只找到一根有回头改写，是该收窄这一章的说法，还是你看得还不够细？",
      "chapterTitle": "第6章　三大原理中的回写",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s11",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-06.json",
      "sourceSha256": "6d10b6282694f61ab28b0ce9ef2eb4afce1125ca83944fb6bed5175126b97141"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 7,
      "problemId": "M267-C07",
      "part": 2,
      "title": "给决定定档",
      "question": "把你这周要做的五件小事列出来，比如买东西、选路线、安排一次聚会。用三把尺子给每件定弱、中、剧烈档：回写写到哪一维、你追不追得上、改了之后留不留痕。再挑一件最可能判错的，写判错会是哪个方向。",
      "checkpoint": "你的档位换一个时间尺度，比如一天与一年，会变吗？三把尺子里你最拿不准的是哪一把？",
      "chapterTitle": "第7章　回写的谱系",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s12",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-07.json",
      "sourceSha256": "af497d19038907ca4f14c596be1929a426615a1518ff60e35b95692bff767450"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 8,
      "problemId": "M267-C08",
      "part": 2,
      "title": "桌面与地基",
      "question": "选你家里一处已经顺手的摆放，比如书桌或玄关。写下它经过几次挪动才定下来，哪些部分你已经不再去想，成了地基；哪一处最近让你别扭。再各写一个「可以放心定下来」与「还不能定」的信号。",
      "checkpoint": "你说可以放心定下来，依据是什么？什么情况出现，说明这块地基其实该重新沉淀？",
      "chapterTitle": "第8章　秩序态的新位置",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s13",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-08.json",
      "sourceSha256": "bbcd364d3d1c2dca365f0236b201987032d1fb56e1fb5a016e78698c77b891bc"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 9,
      "problemId": "M267-C09",
      "part": 2,
      "title": "出手前备岔路",
      "question": "选一次有来有往的小互动，比如和朋友下棋或打牌。写下你第一轮总结出的对方习惯；再写对方被你针对之后有什么变化；最后为下一回合写两三个「如果他……我就……」，各配一个看得见的信号。",
      "checkpoint": "你的「如果」有没有被对方读出来并利用？什么表现说明该换的是路标，而不是方案？",
      "chapterTitle": "第9章　定音：预案的核心条件是回写剧烈",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s14",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-09.json",
      "sourceSha256": "6ee452a44059ffe47788126f3f8598335504eb158162b4b448c42d73eccb3928"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 10,
      "problemId": "M267-C10",
      "part": 3,
      "title": "可数可换可加",
      "question": "走进家里的厨房或楼下的小店，挑五样日常东西，判断哪些「可数、可换、可加」。再找一样你自己动手改过的东西，写下让它不再可换的那处改动，以及拿走另一方后，这处改动还有没有意思。",
      "checkpoint": "你判为「可加」的东西真的互不影响吗？想一个看似粒子、其实在悄悄互相带动的例子。",
      "chapterTitle": "第10章　我们经济：粒子性与统一性",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s16",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-10.json",
      "sourceSha256": "11dabd1e8acdc6d74426deb93efbd49628d155f6f61dfdb6cb70275482351439"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 11,
      "problemId": "M267-C11",
      "part": 3,
      "title": "接唱与图样",
      "question": "回想一次大家你一句我一句接出来的场面，比如群里接龙或饭桌上的玩笑。写下开头的那一句是什么，若开头换成另一句可能怎样；再写它的价值，为什么拿到不在场的人面前就丢了。",
      "checkpoint": "若同样的开头在另一群人里几乎得到一样的结果，「图样只出现一次」该怎样收窄？",
      "chapterTitle": "第11章　我经济：波、场与突变",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s17",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-11.json",
      "sourceSha256": "50f3532703506362cd4c9df852689d58bb173ee3cc524b643f8daa4c071cf7aa"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 12,
      "problemId": "M267-C12",
      "part": 3,
      "title": "机器随机与我",
      "question": "找一件想请 AI 帮写的小事，比如给邻居的一则通知。让它生成三次（没有 AI 就想象三个朋友各写一版），写下三次的差别、你留下哪一句、又用自己的哪点具体材料去接，以及这一步为什么只有你能做。",
      "checkpoint": "你的筛选和补材料，机器真的做不了吗？什么情形说明随机已被「吸收」成了标准答案？",
      "chapterTitle": "第12章　两个源头",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s18",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-12.json",
      "sourceSha256": "427a83123f1241d0d23ac651736db0c95743f5e29d7592d0d59dd6c991273883"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 13,
      "problemId": "M267-C13",
      "part": 3,
      "title": "读数不是标签",
      "question": "想一件你会的小本事，比如挑西瓜或修自行车，假设有熟人请你帮忙。写下你会怎样定回报，不一定是钱；同一件事换个人、换个时刻，回报会怎样不同；再写这次交往之后，你们那片熟人圈里变了什么。",
      "checkpoint": "你的「读数」有没有被圈子里的人看见？没人看见还算社区定价吗？什么条件会让它滑回统一标价？",
      "chapterTitle": "第13章　社区定价即场的读数，碰撞即干涉",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s19",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-13.json",
      "sourceSha256": "4bec45fa3a5fbe4e447574bdb87c6dffda9efecf75c90b7f8b1dc2c75d351303"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 14,
      "problemId": "M267-C14",
      "part": 3,
      "title": "蓝皮本与牛皮纸",
      "question": "把你最近一个月的事分成两栏：一栏是能按单位计、能预估的；一栏是每次只有一次的。各写三条，不必写金额。再写一次你用错尺子衡量自己或别人的经历，并说明该换成什么问法。",
      "checkpoint": "你的两栏边界清楚吗？有没有一件事既在这栏又在那栏？这说明二象是分类，还是分层？",
      "chapterTitle": "第14章　波粒二象：我们与我的共存",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s20",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-14.json",
      "sourceSha256": "dd5250f2630ac368021be089bb401a2aff7d3e64275624d35ab6974ce5c16ae0"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 15,
      "problemId": "M267-C15",
      "part": 4,
      "title": "先落脚后用力",
      "question": "下次在安全的前提下走一段不熟的路，比如陌生的楼梯或雨后的公园小径。记下三步里「眼睛的假设」与「脚的回答」有什么差别，哪一次你先试了一下再放重心；再写一个你的「杖」，也就是便宜的试错办法。",
      "checkpoint": "在台阶这类平路上也值得步步试探吗？什么情形下事先规划好落点，反而同样稳当？",
      "chapterTitle": "第15章　徒步：脚底的场序列",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s22",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-15.json",
      "sourceSha256": "eaa0a62e72b2785fe53cb57261e37b8f17b69d94dfbed78e714e157bdd642d2a"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 16,
      "problemId": "M267-C16",
      "part": 4,
      "title": "背影翻成熟人",
      "question": "回想一次在人群、窗外或书页上「忽然认出」的经历，或现场看一张鸭兔图。写下认出之前你看到了哪几个碎片，是哪一下让整体翻了过来，以及翻过来之后你还能不能退回「陌生」。",
      "checkpoint": "你的认出若其实是逐项核对出来的，「整体翻转」这个说法该收窄到哪里？",
      "chapterTitle": "第16章　视觉也是突变的",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s23",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-16.json",
      "sourceSha256": "ca58bc39addbb9df04b853152585314a8936351eb68da1ae0796b80e2aa51baa"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 17,
      "problemId": "M267-C17",
      "part": 4,
      "title": "熟路褪色",
      "question": "选一条你走了很久的路，或一间待了很久的屋子，这周故意换个路线或角度看。写下你新注意到的三处变化，以及一处「原来一直没看见」的东西；再说这是不是「差异不再进来」造成的。",
      "checkpoint": "新注意到的东西会不会只是新鲜感？差异多到什么程度刚好，多了又会怎样？",
      "chapterTitle": "第17章　没有突变，就没有看见",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s24",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-17.json",
      "sourceSha256": "0811440f2c8d7f95d9f5b4dcd3d037684355c83c7057d88ebe78fdce5c31db97"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 18,
      "problemId": "M267-C18",
      "part": 4,
      "title": "找葱的三种随机",
      "question": "在超市、书架或衣柜里找一样具体东西，开始前先估个时间。事后回想或记录你的视线：先往哪去，哪里跳得快、哪里慢，在哪里停得久。写下哪一种最影响找得快慢，以及认出候选后下一跳怎样变。",
      "checkpoint": "往哪去、走多快、停多久，在你的记录里分得开吗？分不开的话，三分法是描述还是硬分？",
      "chapterTitle": "第18章　混沌碰撞与三种随机",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s25",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-18.json",
      "sourceSha256": "aad503796911914d07f4526d9a74c5a8d7c5086c55cdf6b3a50c2e4726c3aaa7"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 19,
      "problemId": "M267-C19",
      "part": 4,
      "title": "放松它自己出来",
      "question": "试看一张魔眼图，或盯一片云、地砖纹、旧墙的斑点，让形状自己出来。写下你放松与死盯各自的结果，第一块「不对劲」出现在哪里；成形后，试挡住一角、轻晃一下头，看它是留住还是散掉。",
      "checkpoint": "放松与死盯的差别，也可能只是疲劳或时间长短；怎样安排对照，才能把「随机」和别的因素分开？",
      "chapterTitle": "第19章　自组织与涌现",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s26",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-19.json",
      "sourceSha256": "19cea00140a5c0bd879b9a148e10294d3c89472b241cf0f0acd8dc871cb44a0e"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 20,
      "problemId": "M267-C20",
      "part": 4,
      "title": "出隧道的两秒",
      "question": "找一个「突然换场」的时刻，比如开灯、走出电梯、转过街角。事后按五环写下：什么变了、哪些碎片先撞进来、你的视线怎样晃、哪一刻「落座」、落成了什么，以及落座之后视线怎样被它牵着走。",
      "checkpoint": "你的五环每一环都有证据吗？哪一环是硬补的？那一环缺了，这条链的说法该怎么改？",
      "chapterTitle": "第20章　特征律发生的完整链条",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s27",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-20.json",
      "sourceSha256": "d03a96623c7872dea00392bb4ef09abd11cef58aa0b4c23817e6b6471c87ac04"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 21,
      "problemId": "M267-C21",
      "part": 4,
      "title": "格子与翻边网",
      "question": "回想一次手机或门铃摄像头认错、漏报的小事，或凭空设想一个。写下它错在哪（按帧、按格子、贴标签），你又是靠什么认出的（变化、动法）；再按整体、稳定、独立三关，各举一个你会怎样检验。",
      "checkpoint": "你设想的检验能区分「看见形状」与「更会贴标签」吗？什么结果出现，说明这份预案的右端该改？",
      "chapterTitle": "第21章　突变性计算机视觉：一份预案",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s28",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-21.json",
      "sourceSha256": "b3709dbbae2bf8fffc8fa6932eec46859f61a6874df01ae4fc2d3b18f76a0763"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 22,
      "problemId": "M267-C22",
      "part": 5,
      "title": "三页如果",
      "question": "选一件未发生的小行程，比如带家人去一个久未去的地方，或一次同学聚会。写三页「如果」，分别把假设放在 E、S、D 上；标出哪些是猜的右端、哪些是许的右端，并为每页写两种可能的左端。",
      "checkpoint": "你写的「猜」里有没有其实是「许」的？如果现场推翻了第一页，哪些东西仍然有用？",
      "chapterTitle": "第22章　三方程的右端假设",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s30",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-22.json",
      "sourceSha256": "90474df6219943b2d070806a4b0358d3a12c515652e803c64c58eaae3e6a44b7"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 23,
      "problemId": "M267-C23",
      "part": 5,
      "title": "三份文字",
      "question": "选一件将来会改变周围环境的小事，比如邻居要搬走、小区要装修。各写一句：前景型（什么都不改会长成什么）、路线型（你想要什么、怎么走）、生态型（身边要长出什么）；再找出其中两份互相打架的地方。",
      "checkpoint": "三份文字互校后若只是互相重复，说明什么？哪一型最薄，是显示不确定，还是你偷懒？",
      "chapterTitle": "第23章　预案专著三型",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s31",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-23.json",
      "sourceSha256": "15c9139548ab7a5edc5d0d3dda000832c5d2ebdd135f57df0b12e4c00edaa5bb"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 24,
      "problemId": "M267-C24",
      "part": 5,
      "title": "先问三问",
      "question": "选一件你想办成的小事，比如整理旧物或招待朋友吃饭。回答：要求的是样子、做法还是关系？推它的是哪两样的不合？心里是不是早有一个旧样子在推？再写走哪条路径、一冲程还是两冲程，以及一个说明格子选错的信号。",
      "checkpoint": "你认定「旧样子在推」的依据是什么？若起点后来并没有被改写，是方法错了，还是格子选错了？",
      "chapterTitle": "第24章　方法层预案",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s32",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-24.json",
      "sourceSha256": "65829384282cb2aa6745332518c92e224559388fba8597f5b1d35d246fe0e0d5"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 25,
      "problemId": "M267-C25",
      "part": 5,
      "title": "三方案押注表",
      "question": "挑一件下个月要定的小事（周末去哪、聚会选哪家都行），写出三个方案。每个方案依次问四句：假设眼下有什么痕迹撑着、路通不通、推出的结果是不是你真想要的、出现什么大局面就换。再各写一行押多少（时间、小钱，或只记在心里）。",
      "checkpoint": "你给“假设有根据”打的分，依据的是眼下看得见的痕迹，还是你希望它成立？哪一条最像愿望？",
      "chapterTitle": "第25章　判别的转移：从「对不对」到「值不值得押」",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s33",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-25.json",
      "sourceSha256": "b4bfa81d7bb94b6bdd680465ecac1f304851b7b2a7d4365c66436de397d36d17"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 26,
      "problemId": "M267-C26",
      "part": 5,
      "title": "共享的底与分叉",
      "question": "想一件下周才知道结果的事，比如领导同不同意、对方来不来。备三套应对：先写三套都用得上的“底”，再写它们在哪一个关键处分叉，各配一个看得见的触发信号，并选一套只记在心里、不提前做。",
      "checkpoint": "你选的分叉点是真正决定局面的那一处，还是只是换了说法的重复？怎样看出来？",
      "chapterTitle": "第26章　专著系统：一组并行的 What If",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s34",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-26.json",
      "sourceSha256": "fd13ccabcd14730e6f39a5d1f6e71a2a03bfe0dd37cd543fdafcdd3650f4c0d9"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 27,
      "problemId": "M267-C27",
      "part": 6,
      "title": "下放决定权",
      "question": "下周有件事你不在场，要请别人替你办（收快递、接人、回客户电话都行）。写下要交代的三件事：要达成什么、为什么、有哪些限制；再写哪些做法留给对方现场定，并把全程走一遍，标出最可能卡住的一处。",
      "checkpoint": "对方没按你想的步骤做却达成了目的，你算对还是算错？你交代的“必须”里，有几条只是你不放心？",
      "chapterTitle": "第27章　从孙子到参谋部：预案科学的谱系",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s36",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-27.json",
      "sourceSha256": "684885f41a6ffb53efb1654cfd23a661c7c84c6f112bc42beda6153c40317cfa"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 28,
      "problemId": "M267-C28",
      "part": 6,
      "title": "牙签挪一挪",
      "question": "选一件想做却没把握的小事，比如周末在小区摆一次旧物摊。用“谁帮忙、天时、地点、你自己、做法搬不搬得过去”五项各放一根牙签，分左（有利）右（不利）。试着把右边的挪过来，写下怎么挪；挪不动的那根，设计一次小试。",
      "checkpoint": "挪完右边仍多于左边时，你怎样分辨是“这件事不该做”，还是“你算得还不够多”？",
      "chapterTitle": "第28章　庙算：右端假设与「多算胜」",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s37",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-28.json",
      "sourceSha256": "2c957e8ffc0932c8c6060524b8349f2cae85763fb0976e1312c4b6c08e82c685"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 29,
      "problemId": "M267-C29",
      "part": 6,
      "title": "九点作废的计划",
      "question": "回想一次早上定好的安排被打乱的日子（会议改期、临时加活都行）。写出原计划、你中途改的打法、变了的外界条件。再答三问：哪一维在剧变？哪两维对不上？你新排的次序是先看环境、先看自己，还是先动手？",
      "checkpoint": "你那天改得快，靠的是心里有清楚的目标，还是临场聪明？若是后者，“先有目标才敢变”该怎样收窄？",
      "chapterTitle": "第29章　兵无常势，水无常形：突变态的宣言",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s38",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-29.json",
      "sourceSha256": "913a44e589b571882e7d4c5326d0998adf2be17a026e47b7a55ea0b738009fd6"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 30,
      "problemId": "M267-C30",
      "part": 6,
      "title": "主方案挂分支",
      "question": "设想你要在某个周末搬一次家（或搬一次办公桌）。先写主方案，再在两个最可能出岔子的节点各挂一个分支，写明看得见的触发条件。最后写：真到那一步，你手里留了什么本钱（时间、人手、钱）才转得过去。",
      "checkpoint": "若触发条件是“到时候再看情况”，它还算分支吗？你写的条件，旁人能一眼看出来吗？",
      "chapterTitle": "第30章　奇正相生：主方案与分支",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s39",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-30.json",
      "sourceSha256": "b7f279eface356f028761cc5530166644a7e25cc52e03a7d264ba4620b4dda16"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 31,
      "problemId": "M267-C31",
      "part": 6,
      "title": "每一稿后的对方",
      "question": "回想一件来回改了几稿的事（方案、通知、给家人的安排）。逐稿写：你这一稿之后，对方的方向、回应速度、话题各变成了什么。再写一句：哪次只是细节要调，哪次是对方看这件事的想法本身变了。最后立一个路标。",
      "checkpoint": "你读出的“对方变了”，靠的是对方具体说了做了什么，还是你的猜测？哪一条最容易读偏？",
      "chapterTitle": "第31章　知彼知己，因敌制胜：读出回写，立下路标",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s40",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-31.json",
      "sourceSha256": "33a31827262e7370e465518fc303c0ad2b85463e957e52a2b54cd842e66984ba"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 32,
      "problemId": "M267-C32",
      "part": 6,
      "title": "半小时一张纸",
      "question": "月底有份材料要交，而你要等别人给的数据。用半小时在一张纸上写三套方案（各自从不同的先后次序起步）、两个“什么时候看什么”的决策时刻，再加一句：折腾几轮后，此刻的我被改成了什么样（急躁？松懈？）。",
      "checkpoint": "你的三套方案，是次序真的不同，还是同一套的三个小变体？怎么判断？",
      "chapterTitle": "第32章　作战参谋的总方法论即 SDE 方法论：从战场到我经济",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s41",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-32.json",
      "sourceSha256": "0b0b5f8d27c1ba8e45842a0537574f170ce7f9cdf7088d1ba47a41af4778b945"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 33,
      "problemId": "M267-C33",
      "part": 7,
      "title": "重复得了与重复不了",
      "question": "各列一件你的事：一件做过很多次、出错能查原因的；一件只有一次、做完就改变了条件的。再用三问检验后者：它会不会改写你是谁？会不会逼出新的行动？会不会让身边的人和环境重新排列？写下你的答案。",
      "checkpoint": "若你以为一次性的事，其实许多人在差不多的条件下做过，这一章的分法该怎样收窄？",
      "chapterTitle": "第33章　从多次性科学到一次性发生",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s43",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-33.json",
      "sourceSha256": "0e13d5ea2447c11aafec829d3a80724965e99cbf4482c2e8b93ffce2524b6a8b"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 34,
      "problemId": "M267-C34",
      "part": 7,
      "title": "三层筛子",
      "question": "给一份要发出去的东西（群通知、简历开头、相册封面）先生成至少六个候选。再设三层筛子，从便宜到贵：自己看一眼、缩小或让别人瞥一眼、放进真实场合试。每个落选的写一行：在什么条件下、为什么落选。",
      "checkpoint": "你最便宜的那一层，会不会把真正合适的先筛掉了？什么迹象说明它筛得太严？",
      "chapterTitle": "第34章　已经出现的雏形",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s44",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-34.json",
      "sourceSha256": "a7a65c0f1d1f747df21ca67543319507cfabd964e8cfb00a7dc6a7aa8705ac44"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 35,
      "problemId": "M267-C35",
      "part": 7,
      "title": "出发前一晚的地图",
      "question": "设想下周你得准时赶到一个陌生地方，路上可能限流或堵车。前一晚在地图上走一遍，写出三条路，各配一个看得见的换路信号。这里只练推理结构：再标出哪些信号你自己读得懂，哪些要交给在场的专业人员判断。",
      "checkpoint": "出发前读到的路况，什么时候就过期了？你准备在路上的哪个点重新读一次？",
      "chapterTitle": "第35章　癌症：最紧迫的预案科学",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s45",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-35.json",
      "sourceSha256": "53820b496430ce1f6c3f894d76e8c2ba246d7ed66f70c73855fae084267f60f8"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 36,
      "problemId": "M267-C36",
      "part": 7,
      "title": "同一招为什么变钝",
      "question": "想一件你反复用同一个办法对付、后来越来越不灵的事（催人、清理、说服都行）。写出那一招、当时的效果，再列至少三样被这一招改写的东西（对方、环境、你自己的做法）。最后写：下次出手前，你要先重新读什么。",
      "checkpoint": "“变钝”是因为对象被你改写了，还是一开始你就读偏了？有什么办法区分？",
      "chapterTitle": "第36章　治疗回写细胞的 E",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s46",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-36.json",
      "sourceSha256": "c5d21664d11fffd7bdd62124952bfb72b9e695df9ebf0dbab1ae7d92e9db2376"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 37,
      "problemId": "M267-C37",
      "part": 7,
      "title": "沙盒该多厚",
      "question": "列三件你近期想买或想订的东西，大小不同。每件写：买错了能退回多少、会不会改变你的习惯。据此给每件定沙盒厚度（直接用、先试用、查清再买），并为最难退的那件想一个能撤回的小版本。",
      "checkpoint": "你认定“可逆”的那件，真能退吗（期限、面子、关系）？什么情形会让你把薄沙盒改厚？",
      "chapterTitle": "第37章　边界与实验的新位置",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s47",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-37.json",
      "sourceSha256": "c47bcd7b1dc4edface6c9189bc586603228fe181f8a31afaa90edbf227beb34d"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 38,
      "problemId": "M267-C38",
      "part": 8,
      "title": "难，还是厌",
      "question": "挑一项你或家人学到一半、有点不想碰的技能。写三条继续的路（各配一个路标），再判断这次“不想”是难还是厌：设计一个小检验——换个讲法或找人带一周，劲头回来算难，没回来算厌。只记录，不必据此做决定。",
      "checkpoint": "你的路标是自己和信任的人之间的约定，还是已被写成要交给别人看的表格？后者会发生什么？",
      "chapterTitle": "第38章　教育预案",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s49",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-38.json",
      "sourceSha256": "1324cc7a3e3094645dab644b2936a724cc8f124ec91eda2f7a587ddcf8669a68"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 39,
      "problemId": "M267-C39",
      "part": 8,
      "title": "三种如果，一块停牌",
      "question": "只拿生活节奏里的小事练习，比如周末起床和出门的时间。写三种“如果这样安排”，各配一个自己能察觉的粗路标。再加一条：一旦出现以前没有、让你不安的身体变化，路标就是停止自己试，去问专业的医生。",
      "checkpoint": "你的路标是自己察觉到的大变化，还是每天盯的数字？盯得太紧，会怎样改变你要读的东西？",
      "chapterTitle": "第39章　健康预案",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s50",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-39.json",
      "sourceSha256": "29443b582eccd47804212aa35cfcbc80fd6f1b335d10c6526e2bc10e2c6ab972"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 40,
      "problemId": "M267-C40",
      "part": 8,
      "title": "有人来敲门",
      "question": "只练结构，不涉及换工作的决定。想一件你业余做的小事，写下一次“有人主动来找你”的经历：谁、为了什么、愿意付出什么。再给你日常工作的某一环写两块路标：什么情形说明旧做法在收窄，什么情形说明新能力在打开。",
      "checkpoint": "“真好看”的夸奖和“愿意付出一点东西”的行动，你写的信号是哪一种？为什么后者更可靠？",
      "chapterTitle": "第40章　事业预案",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s51",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-40.json",
      "sourceSha256": "96eded9e93e702c63b523a6d4c895d13f763cfecc46c1ae5a591267353109e31"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 41,
      "problemId": "M267-C41",
      "part": 8,
      "title": "三张纸互相当常数",
      "question": "把下个月的三件事摊在一张桌上：一项学习、一项工作安排、一个生活节律。逐张检查它们有没有偷偷把另外两张当成已经定好的事，找出一处冲突，再写一条“一条线上亮起，另外两条也得跟着换”的跨线路标。",
      "checkpoint": "若这三件事半年内几乎互不影响，“必须联写”就不成立。你的三件属于哪一种？依据是什么？",
      "chapterTitle": "第41章　三线互为右端：一个人的预案系统",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s52",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-41.json",
      "sourceSha256": "8dd2227ea4488ffe51ed250bb21bdc2f625a3692697ee8916ad612d10f517ff6"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 42,
      "problemId": "M267-C42",
      "part": 9,
      "title": "一个够大的如果",
      "question": "设想“如果小区门口的快递柜明年撤掉”。依次写：这个如果大不大、有什么根据；先动的是做法还是关系；左端写成一个看得见的场景，别写感想；最后写一条什么情形说明你推错了。",
      "checkpoint": "你写的左端里有人吃亏吗？只有好处的结果，是推出来的，还是希望出来的？",
      "chapterTitle": "第42章　What If：三方程的作品",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s54",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-42.json",
      "sourceSha256": "926c567ae251e92dd06ec14b1e68dcf364f835c8cb8a9a08e28039c85f7033ae"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 43,
      "problemId": "M267-C43",
      "part": 9,
      "title": "两条路到同一处",
      "question": "选一件起点、终点都能认出的事，比如把堆了几年的储物间整理成可用的房间。写两种走法：先动手再找帮手，先找帮手再动手。每一段写清是什么在推，再各定一个“走到哪里就换路”的切换点。",
      "checkpoint": "两条路的次序真的不同吗？走到一半，你的终点有可能被路上的事改写成什么样？",
      "chapterTitle": "第43章　How If：六路径的作品",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s55",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-43.json",
      "sourceSha256": "2b036ef961fe402e14c2a4a1609c93a53fd665697a3fbb21eeea5069121e7ab1"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 44,
      "problemId": "M267-C44",
      "part": 9,
      "title": "不列清单找别扭",
      "question": "想一个你所在的群，为什么有时热闹有时冷清。先别列理由清单，挑出两条理由，问它们怎样互相顶着，写出这股别扭推出的第三样东西（一个行动、一种局面或一张关系）。再写一条：什么情况说明该认输。",
      "checkpoint": "把这份假设搬到另一个群里，还能推出东西吗？搬不动，它是原理，还是只属于这个群？",
      "chapterTitle": "第44章　Why If：三原理的作品",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s56",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-44.json",
      "sourceSha256": "264c32da757378a630bf592f45488bac11479b145ab6f9c85383958df10def4d"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 45,
      "problemId": "M267-C45",
      "part": 9,
      "title": "撞墙的十分钟",
      "question": "挑今天一件让你愣一下的小事，缩成只有两三样东西的小场；把一个条件改得离谱些；往下推，推到第一个“不对呀”就停。写一句：是你推错了，还是原来以为的那件事本来就不对？",
      "checkpoint": "这个场是你自己搭的，还是别人或工具替你搭的？换一个人来搭，墙还会出现在原处吗？",
      "chapterTitle": "第45章　很多爱因斯坦的诞生",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s57",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-45.json",
      "sourceSha256": "a961e53e8268ff45fbbd5082e6025f5c9f2bd1a9fd6547694238bba706e97657"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 46,
      "problemId": "M267-C46",
      "part": 9,
      "title": "写一条更新记录",
      "question": "拿你手上一份别人也要用的东西（工作交接说明、家里的备忘），先写下它现在的版本，再补一条更新记录：日期、改了什么、因为现实里碰到哪个信号才改。再写一条还没触发的路标。",
      "checkpoint": "去掉“为什么改”，只留“改了什么”，读者还能判断这次更新靠不靠谱吗？",
      "chapterTitle": "第46章　出版的新典范",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s58",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-46.json",
      "sourceSha256": "14fc4aae6f062355ecd55f57c19492fb86ffcde0519350f323d8fbec584ef2f1"
    },
    {
      "lesson": 47,
      "problemId": "M267-C47",
      "part": 9,
      "title": "换掉默认的右端",
      "question": "找一篇你收藏过的经验帖或攻略，找出它默认的两个前提（几个人、多少时间之类）。换成你自己的情况，不必写隐私，只写类型；标出原文哪两条推论会倒，并写一条这一版自己的路标。",
      "checkpoint": "你换掉的是自己的处境，还是偷偷换了文章的根本前提？两者怎样分辨？",
      "chapterTitle": "第47章　读者成为 What If 的发起者",
      "sourceUrl": "https://sdeuniverses.com/books/m/267/text/#s59",
      "sourceData": "/books/m/267/unit/sources/chapter-47.json",
      "sourceSha256": "b84cdf441320b3c22ce25339fef22f469d00c3e6e6e2844ac5642ce568dc05b0"
    }
  ],
  "companionDesign": true,
  "realModelTested": false,
  "learningEffectTested": false
}